Camp David, which followed intensive preparatory
negotiations in Sweden, was for Israel an important benchmark in the
process, rather than a final conclusion of it. It aimed at bringing
about an end to the occupation, and, it was hoped, an end to the
conflict.
The Palestinians' approach to the summit stemmed from a
search for historic justice. In addition, it entailed exploiting
political negotiations as a phase in the ongoing clash of cultures,
religions and peoples.
There was thus a significant gap in the way both parties
conceived of the purpose of the summit. This conceptual gap affected the
unfolding of events far more than any of the mistakes made by either of
the parties or the mistrust that characterized their relationship along
the way.
At Camp David, it was Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat
who critically failed. This is my view, indeed, but I also believe that
the bulk of Palestinian society understands it now as well: the tragedy
that has befallen them over the past two and a half years has a nametag
on it. The talks in Camp David and pursuant to it could have paved the
way towards ending the occupation, much as the
roadmap
does.
When the dialogue does resume, as we have to believe it
will, it is absolutely vital that we draw the lessons of the collapse of
the Camp David summit. Among numerous such lessons I would suggest the
following:
First, there must be preparation of public opinion. The
"historic compromise" concealed in the agreement almost reached at Camp
David was not well explained to the respective constituencies. In
Israel, commentaries focused on what we were likely to be giving up
rather than the benefits of transformation or the fruits of peace. It
seems almost obvious that concerted effort and attention must be given
to continuous, comprehensive public relations--explaining to the public
the thinking behind the political process.
But this did not happen, or at least not sufficiently.
Arafat for his part never clearly projected a readiness to reach a true
historic compromise with Zionism, based on the partition of the Land of
Israel into two independent political entities. And in the absence of
any other directive from above, the ongoing hostility and wild
incitement fell on fertile ground. To this I would add the need to
establish moderate international and Arab coalitions to sustain United
States policy, a lesson already well learned and implemented by
President George W. Bush.
Second, attention must be paid to both sides'
perceptions, not just to the objective facts. On the issue of the
refugees, for example, it was the image of things that held sway over
the substance. Here was an ethos that had been built up and nurtured
over decades as one of the cornerstones of the Palestinian national
struggle. The Palestinian negotiators considered it their duty to show
that the suffering of the refugees had come to an end and that their
dream was about to be realized, even if only formally. As a result, for
many of our Palestinian counterparts, the wording of this section in the
draft agreement was far more important than the practical mechanisms to
be set up to help rehabilitate the refugees, or the effort to mobilize
the international community on their behalf.
Third, careful thought must be given to the question of
process management. Sometimes it may be as important as the substance
and content of negotiations. When parties move towards closing such a
dramatic "deal", the process must be kept very well defined and very
strict. A rigid framework is needed with a rigid agenda from which the
parties cannot be allowed to deviate. This was definitely not the case
at Camp David. Indeed, it started with an orderly procedure of
presenting positions, setting out respective interests and then giving
each of the sides their respective "assignments". The facilitator
hosting the summit got off to a good start. However, there was no
follow-up. The mechanism later collapsed, and the business-like,
pragmatic atmosphere that had marked the beginning simply fell away. The
process was unclear and disorganized. I hope that the same pattern does
not repeat itself in the process of pushing President Bush's Middle East
roadmap forward.
Fourth, the permanent status core issues are all
interlinked. It is not possible to isolate any single issue from the
others. The approach adopted by the Israeli negotiators was predicated
on a readiness to discuss far-reaching ideas for solving all these
issues, as long as nothing was considered agreed and binding until
everything was agreed. For their part, the Palestinians' suspicion that
Israel was seeking a way to deceive the world and perpetuate the
occupation prevailed over any reasonable explanations to the contrary.
Fifth, timing is crucial. The
Clinton
proposals of December 2000 were ready as early as August 2000. They
followed up on as many as 50 extensive daily negotiations, recapping the
convergences reached in Camp David between the parties. Had President
Clinton presented them then, capitalizing on the momentum remaining from
the summit, I believe the outcome might have been different. In the
event, a very different momentum of violence was brought into being and
the historic opportunity was lost. Sadly enough, there was no realistic
US contingency plan in place, and no fallback or exit strategies
prepared in anticipation of the summit's failure.