Having been a participant as a soldier (as was my late
father before me) to the consequences of bad relations between India and
Pakistan, one cannot remember greater expectations than for the Musharraf
– Vajpayee talks scheduled for July 14 to 16. Given the historical track
record, one would normally approach any negotiations with our great
neighbor with some skepticism but even the most die-hard cynic has been
caught up in the fervor that has been generated by the impending event.
There is much expectation in the air, a genuine belief about resolving our
differences amicably, the readiness to go the extra mile for peace.
Before embarking for India, Gen Pervez Musharraf has
chosen to engage in a series of briefings cum consultations with the broad
spectrum of the intelligentsia comprising media persons, politicians,
religious leaders, Kashmiri representatives, entrepreneurs, etc. He had
already broad consensus among the military hierarchy in the search for a
mutually acceptable solution. Being invited to one such session, one
expected at best a one-way monologue and self-justification on the newly
anointed President’s part at taking this historic initiative. It was a
revelation to find that a self-confident Pervez Musharraf was interested
in genuine dialogue, that his mind was open to ideas and suggestions and
that he had no ego problems. The result was, discounting the odd flattery
from the traditional flatterers, a comprehensive debate between very
interested participants where a virtual plethora of ideas were mooted and
analyzed in open discussion, without rancor. What the President got in
return was quite a few converts and a tremendous consensus. Making
believers out of such disparate groups and individuals is no mean
achievement. As a public relations exercise, the consultations series was
outstanding, the resultant welding of the mandate behind the President
nothing short of brilliant. Musharraf goes to India that much stronger.
The bottom line was simple, everyone came "on board" with respect to peace
with India but not at the cost of Kashmir, this remains the core issue for
all Pakistanis.
What is the consensus among the people of Pakistan, among
the intelligentsia as well as the masses, about Musharraf’s visit to
India? Do the Pakistani people have any hopes and aspirations vis-à-vis
possible future inter-action with the people of India? As one of those who
repeatedly cautioned the President about lowering the threshold of
expectations so that any disappointment may only be a temporary setback
and not lead to an emotional backlash driving the two countries further
apart, maybe permanently, one must acknowledge being caught up in the
fever of expectations. In varying degree, Pakistanis are deeply
emotionally involved with the plight of the Kashmiris and their fight for
freedom. A great majority of our people believe that there can be no peace
between Pakistan and India while Kashmir stays as a bleeding ulcer in the
psyche of the two countries.
Massive funds being spent on defence can be diverted to
much needed social infra-structure such as potable water, roads, hygiene
and sanitation, health services and medicine, education, transportation,
housing, etc. And God knows that the 40 million in Pakistan and the 400
million in India beneath the poverty line need these basic necessities.
Make no mistake, Pakistan was a historical necessity for the Muslims of
India, and while the name may not be East Pakistan anymore, Bangladesh
does constitute the other sovereign entity as envisaged by the 1940 Lahore
Resolution of the Muslim League. But given this need to preserve the
identity and sanctity of Islam under separate sovereignty, there is a
genuine bond between the people of India and Pakistan that transcends
religion and ethnicity. Human inter-action has been only sporadic and
infrequent over the past fifty years. For more than a millennium, since
the advent of Islam into South Asia, the two great religions have lived
together till 1947, sometimes in confrontation but mostly in harmony.
Islam teaches us to respect the other’s religions, and not become (or
remain) prisoners of fear spread by the ignorant for their own narrow
ulterior motives, is the same true reciprocally for Hindus?
Tracing most problems to economic mores, there will be
great benefit to the opening of trade between India and Pakistan. More
than the European Community, more than ASEAN, in fact more than any other
economic entity, South Asia is the most contiguous economic unit on earth.
Pakistanis drink tea by the gallons, India, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh can
provide that tea at less than half what it costs from Kenya. Our wheat and
rice are just right for the impoverished of South Asia. Similarly
Pakistani cotton has many takers through South Asia. If South India can be
the powerhouse for IT development, can Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka
be far behind when compared to the rest of the world? The roads through
Pakistan lead to vast markets in Central Asia and Middle East for all of
South Asia, reciprocally cheap gas, vitally necessary for development of
India’s western states, can be piped across Pakistan. There should not be
any tariff between the South Asian countries, on the contrary, there
should be a plan for a dual currency i.e.. A South Asian Rupiah to go
along-with the Indian Rupee, the Pakistani
Rupee, the Bangladeshi Taka, etc. Goods and commodities being available in
abundance as well as the economy of vast scale, prices will come down
drastically. From an era of confrontation we will transit to an era of
mutual prosperity.
One cannot discount the cultural exchanges, the
intellectual discourses, the proliferation of print and electronic media,
etc but above all the people-to-people contact of thousands of years that
has been lost over the last fifty. All this can happen but it needs to
start somewhere. One has the feeling, despite a host of misgivings created
by years of apathy and suspicions, that the logjam has been broken. While
it may not sound otherwise correct, the fact remains that only with the
participation of die-hards on both sides can peace be achieved, is it a
coincidence that in both countries those without whom no peace is
achievable between the two countries, the Pakistan Army and the BJP are in
power? The talks initiative has been a giant step forward and we in
Pakistan have great expectations that something will materialize, that
South Asia may begin to be a better place to live in after July 16. In the
meantime, other than those who cannot see beyond their feet and their own
narrow parochial interests, the great mass of people in Pakistan want
peace with India, but not at the cost of Kashmir. A great consensus has
silently built up behind Pervez Musharraf. Elections notwithstanding, the
President has the mandate from those it counts, the people of Pakistan.
Over the past weeks, more Pakistanis have begun to believe that Pervez
Musharraf must be supported to the hilt. For us the die is cast, it is
Musharraf, right or wrong. The question is, does Vajpaee have enough of
freedom to respond to such a mandate? A gradual resonance has built up
that Pervez Musharraf will not let us down in New Delhi, that if India is
really serious this time, we will have peace in our time.