There is a good news for 11 millions undocumented immigrants in the
United
States. Taboo is broken. They are at the heart of the debate which is
sharpening on the Capital Hill and in the White House. Die is already
cast
but no body knows what will be the final product. Blanket amnesty is
ruled
out. They may get some type of legalization. It may be permission to
work
legally in the Untied States in the first stage, then graduating for
permanent residency and eventually crossing the final bar, citizenship.
It
may be that the undocumented immigrants present in the U.S. may be
covered
under the guest worker program - an other way to legalize them.
Besides what type of legalization is on the way, an other question
which
begs answer is who will qualify? Weather the legalization will extend
to all
the undocumented immigrants who are at present in the United states or
to
some of them? And who will be fortunate ones? Published reports
suggest
that some conditions will be attached for legalization. The conditions
an
undocumented worker has to fulfill are steady work history, no criminal
record, duration of stay in the U.S., links with the community, and
prospects
of employment to name the few.
Then the question which is propping up again and again in the datable is
which nationality will qualify for some type of legalization. It will be
only
the Mexicans or the undocumented immigrants of all nationalities.
First it
was reported that the fortunate ones will be only the Mexicans, now
others
nationalities are also included.
The most important question is when any type of legalization will be
announced? Possibility is in the month of coming September when the
Mexican
president will visit the United States.
The bottom line is that at this moment, no body is certain what the
final
product will be. These headlines from the mainstream media are also
reflective of different road maps and different scenario in deciding
the
fate of the undocumented immigrants. Democrats Up Ante to Reform
immigration. Democrats to Offer Plan To Reform Immigration. Democrats
Counter
Bush Proposal on Immigrants. Residency at Core of Immigrants Debate.
Bush
Hints at Broader Amnesty. Bush May Expand Residency Plan. Bush Say Plan
for
Immigrants Could Expand. Other Immigrants, Envying Mexicans, Demand a
Break,
Too. All sides flay Bush alien plan. Bush Weighing Plan for Mexican
Guest
Worker.
Viewing these headlines no body can predict what the ruling elite is
cooking.
Why the ruling elite, Democrats and Republicans, changed their position
on
the issue of relief for the undocumented workers? Almost all analysts
agree
that the motive force for this change of heart is politics. Both parties
are
conscious of the numerical strength of the communities of color
(Africans,
Latinos, Caribbeans and Asians). They are more than 80 million out of a
population of 281 millions. These communities of color are more
interested
for the legalization of the undocumented workers for obvious reasons.
Bulk of
the undocumented workers is from the World of Color (Africa, Latin
America,
Mexico, Asia and Caribbean countries). There are so many reasons for
this sad
development. First, discrimination on all level in immigration process -
from
getting a visa to legalization. Second, the poverty in the world of
color due
to the exploitation by the U.S., Great Britain, and France. Third, wars
imposed by the U.S. in so-called Pax-Americana and civil wars fueled by
the
U.S. to keep its American century afloat. Total death toll in the Cold
war
is more than 120 millions. The more tragic part is that 80 percent of
these
120 millions are civilians.
Any pro-immigrant gesture hit a chord with these communities of color.
Presidential and Congressional elections since 1996 have proved their
political weight to the Republicans and the Democrats. Republicans are
more
conscious because they had to pay a very heavy price in these elections.
They
are hanging with a razor-thin majority in the House. They have already
lost
their majority status in the Senate. Any set back in the congressional
election of 2002 would end their majority status in the House of
Representatives. It is a nightmare for them and as result they are
desperate
to woe the votes of the minorities of color to maintain their majority
at
least in the House. On the other hand, Democrats are determined to stop
the
Republicans to make any in road in the communities of color. This loss
they
are not ready to stomach. About 95 percent communities of color are
Democrats.
This new factor, the balancing power of the minorities of color in the
U.S.
politics, explains the emergence of Republican and Democratic plans
to
deal with the issue of undocumented workers. The Republicans Task Force
was
headed by the Secretary of State Powell and Attorney General Ashcraft.
They
submitted a two page confidential memorandum to deal with the
undocumented
immigrants from Mexico. Then came the Democratic plan from the task
force
co-chaired by Rep. Gutierivez, Rep. Sheela Jackson and Rep. Slvestre
Reyes.
It was more inclusive than the Republican proposed plan.
Republican plan initially dealt with the Mexicans undocumented
immigrants
which are the largest group among the undocumented immigrants from any
other
country. Conservative estimates are they are about three million in the
United States. Conservative's plan proposed legalization for some of the
Mexican undocumented immigrants. Then the Republicans hinted to
include the
undocumented immigrants of other nationalities also.
Democratic plan proposes to legalize 6 to 8 millions undocumented
immigrants.
Some of the outstanding features of the Democratic plans are 1. "
Allowing
more immigrants into the United States to reunite families. 2. A
program of
earned legalization. Such approach would target longtime, hard-working
residents of good moral character, with no criminal problems who are
otherwise eligible to become U.S. citizens. 3. An expanded program of
temporary workers, paving the way for them to have permanent immigrants
status and eventual citizenship." Democrats Up Ante to Reform
Immigration,
Los Angeles Times, August 3,2001.
One note of caution about the proposed "conditional amnesty". First, no
body
knows it will be this year or the next year which is slated for the
Congressional elections. Possibility is that some proposal will be on
the
table this year and final decision will be taken next year.
An important explanation. An amnesty is an amnesty. It does not matter
how
limited it is. For an illegal immigrant who does not have a permission
to
work legally in the United States, permission to work legally is a
blessing.
The same is the case if the illegal immigrants can get permission to
travel
freely to their countries and come back without any problem. Of course,
the
best thing for them is blanket immensity. But the main problem is that
both
parties have demonized the undocumented immigrants so much since 1994.
Now
reversing the position is very difficult. So they are looking for ways
for
not "rewarding the law breakers"- the illegal immigrants.