Evoking the last Egyptian peacemaking attempt led by presidential
adviser Osama el-Baz in Washington as lining up with the US- Israeli
stance about international observers, a recent editorial of the
Jerusalem Post (August 21) quoted President Hosni Mubarak as
declaring: " If there aren't genuine intentions to stop the
violence, the international observers will not make a difference."
The Israeli paper considered that this is a "new positive tone".
So, if it is not Cairo that is blocking the evolvement towards
the implementation of the Mitchell plan, as it has been rumored by
the Israelis themselves angered by the withdrawal of the Egyptian
ambassador to Tell aviv, who does? We have here a situation where
the Israelis recognize that Cairo is not outbidding over peace and
war issues. Better: two days later, the same newspaper, reporting
about the Arab Foreign Affairs' emergency summit in Cairo, went to
the extent of announcing that they are " reluctant to back Arafat"!
(That was the headline!) Thereupon, the reader should choose between
two possible interpretations: either the Arabs are washing their
hands from Arafat's " costly cause", or at last they have understood
that Sharon is a better investment for peace!
These are some of the ways the Israeli media use to cheat their
own people. The expected result would be an increasing popular
belief that Sharon is well applying the right policy! More from his
miraculous expeditious medicines would lead the Israeli people to
peace!
Yet, although these are not complete lies, they are not the truth
either. To take a sentence from its context, and to display it with
a hundred percent zoom, is just dishonest. The frame you would thus
obtain would not include the whole picture. Some important details
would go blind, and that is exactly the point: Some Israelis do not
wish to see the mess. They prefer to fight the windmills, like Don
Quixote, pretending to see and hear anything but the tragic reality.
What the Israelis omit is the fact that whether the Arab States
want it or not, they are not the real makers of the Palestinian
decision. How many times the Arab leaders met in emergency summits
since the outburst of the Intifada? The answer is: five times at
least! Does that fact change anything on the ground? The Israelis
know the answer. There is a lot of talk, and little action. This
Arab official failure to deal with the conflict otherwise than by
giving the Palestinians promises, should have shown the way to the
people seeking a real peace: straightforward negotiations between
Israel and the Palestinians, the Syrians, the Lebaneses, as was the
case with the Egyptians or the Jordanians.
Instead of that, the Israelis believe that if Sharon cannot make
the Palestinians kneel, nobody can! So what happened? When Sharon
started his plan of political assassinations, the Palestinians
retaliated with more suicide bombing operations. The Saudian Arab
News reported recently that Israel Minister of the Interior
himself experienced the horror of being threatened." He was visiting
members of a political party in a hotel. While there, he received an
anonymous telephone call that he would be assassinated. The police
and the full panoply of the Israeli security apparatus were quickly
mobilized and the minister was evacuated from the hotel by a
helicopter".
Obviously, the violence may be blind. Those who use it as a
political means may not always have time to distinguish their
target. An error can occur. Whether the victim is an innocent child
or a Minister in the Israeli or the Palestinian governments, is
matter of conjunction and chance, when it is not actually planned.
Marwan Barghouthi - a senior official in Fatah- like the Israeli
Minister, know something about that. Other Palestinians and Israelis
who escaped death miraculously - Arafat included- know also that
this is an eye for eye equation. The PA head is reported to have
already prepared his underground refuge, with the latest French
equipment for command, control and communications, in case the
Israelis decide to go ahead with their all-out offensive plan. Then,
he would flee either to Cairo or to Baghdad. Some Israeli reports
say that he has been building a chain of command centers, ammunition
depots and weapons-storage areas below the earth of Gaza, even
before the election of Sharon. Whether these are facts or mere
conjecture is another question. The point is that the mistrust
between the two parties has been increasing since the period
preceding Sharon's election. The gravity of the situation caused the
failure of the peace process, prior to the outburst of the Intifada.
Yet, what was at stake since then - and is still on the agenda of
any serious talks to come- concerns mainly the future of the
Palestinian people, that can neither bear the occupation, nor accept
a diminished statehood.
Now, it is no less obvious that the Israelis who accuse Arafat of
playing a double game are blind as regards the behavior of their own
government. On the one hand, they reject any intervention of the
Europeans if it must be translated on the ground in sending
international observers. And on the other hand, they accept Mr.
Fischer's European backed initiative, without whispering a word
about its real conjunction.
One cannot miss though how the Germans themselves pictured the
whole thing. The Frankfurter Allgemeine (Aug. 23) wrote for
example that when Mr. Fischer found himself meddling for the first
time between Palestinians and Israelis- after the disco incident in
Tell aviv - last June, it was by mere chance. He had not planned to
be there at that precise time. But now, it is a different matter, "
symptomatic (...) of a sense of reality and respect for European
attempts to create a common foreign policy."
Would Sharon pretend that he is not aware of the possibility of a
long- range European commitment? The same German newspaper would
then remind him that " Mr. Fischer, who claims to speak and act on
behalf of Europe and not in competition with America, is occupying
the area that President George W. Bush and Secretary of State Colin
Powell are obviously leaving vacant in conceptual and diplomatic
terms."
The day before -(:22)- the New York Times reported that
the USA endorse Mr. Fischers efforts to ease the crisis, and that
Mr. Powell has spoken to his German counterpart. A State Department
spokesman, Philip Reeker - according to the N.Y.Times- said:
" the Germans of course are trusted friends and close NATO allies,
and we welcome their constructive efforts with the parties."
Oddly enough, Haaretz reports the same spokesman as saying that
he " was not aware of any particular meeting that is scheduled"! The
same newspaper went on: " Asked whether Fischer, who has just wound
up a visit to the Middle East, did in fact get Israeli and
Palestinian agreement for a Perez-Arafat meeting, spokesman Philip
Reeker replied:" I have not seen anything to that effect"!
Who was lying then? And- above all - for what reason?
One thing is sure: For the Arabs, all these little games between
Europeans and Israelis and Americans, are not fun. Whether there is
competition or not is none of their business. It may even seem as
tragic as stupid as a game, since so many lives are suspended to
that process. The Arabs remark however that despite the rhetoric
they are displaying, the Europeans are not of much help to the
Palestinians. Many doubts arise as to the real objectives of the
expected meeting between Peres and Arafat, albeit it is said almost
everywhere in the Western media that it was the latter who asked for
it.
Did Arafat ask for it really?
If he did, then he was merely responding positively to an
initiative that was not unknown to Peres. The latter could not
actually ignore that some days before Osama el-Baz' visit to
Washington, former Justice Minister Yossi Belin (Israeli Labor) met
Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Maher in Cairo. Belin's trip to
Egypt was seemingly intended to sound out the ground for two
proposals: the first concerns what is currently named "Gaza first",
and the second aimed at obtaining agreement for another "Madrid
Conference" this October, on the tenth anniversary of the 1991
conference that kicked off the peace process.
Almost at the same time, it was reported that Sharon gave Peres a
conditional "green light" to negotiate with Palestinian leaders for
a cease- fire. According to some sources, Peres discussions with the
Palestinians had continued secretly for some time, and had already
been approved by Sharon after Peres met Arafat in Lisbon at the end
of June. Has Peres tried to sell his plan about "Gaza first" to
Sharon, and has the latter tried to convince him to sell it out
first to the Arabs? Anyway, President Hosni Mubarak made it sure
that this plan could not be accepted, as it has been reported by the
London based AL ARAB. Let's notice by the way that according
to this plan, Israel should unilaterally withdraw from the Gaza
strip, dismantle Jewish settlements and enable Arafat to declare
Palestinian independence there. The move would be conditional on a
general cease-fire, renewal of security cooperation, the arrest of
"wanted" activists and other confidence-building moves.
Assuming Belin's failure to convince his Arab interlocutors, has
Peres tried to launch another "offensive" consisting in what is
currently called "the rolling cease-fire"? And most of all, is that
what he is going to sell to Arafat in Berlin if they meet?
If this is the case, the game is already limited and the
maneuver's margin for the Europeans quite tight. Under such
auspices, Berlin meeting would be just a station, where the
"travelers" would have a little drink, not really a buffet even if
they are starved to death!
Anyway, Arafat cannot ignore the fact that if negotiations there
are in Berlin or anywhere else, with the benediction of the
Europeans and the Americans or with their sub-plots, all the same,
he would be actually negotiating namely with Peres, but in fact with
Sharon, for he is the man in charge. He must know also that there is
no European plan, as it has been rumored of late. The position of
the Europeans was enough clear during the discussion of the
situation in the Security Council. Nobody would oppose the American
veto: there is on the one hand, the rhetoric, and on the other, the
facts. The Quai d'Orsay spokesman made sure that there is an
agreement between the Europeans not to cause any division in the
Security Council. According to the same source, since returning from
Africa, Mr. Vedrine has talked with Mr. Fischer, with his Belgian
counterpart at the European Union presidency, with Mr. Piqué and Mr.
Ruggiero. The same message will be expressed to the parties." It is
Mr. Fischer who is defending the EU positions to the parties"...
which are - one is attempted to add -: no plan! Do whatever you are
doing so far. We will watch!
Now, if something else results from the expected Berlin meeting,
such as a more practical and more responsible and positive approach
to the conflict, would it sadden the Americans - because it is a
European initiative? Or the Israelis because it would bring some
peace? Or the Arabs because it would end the Palestinian ordeal?
Could anyone imagine the collapse of a second wall in Berlin?
Think it over.