by Hichem Karoui
Whereas in Cairo, Israeli Foreign Minister was
talking about " the need to change rhetoric", and telling reporters
that "the greatest mistake, the mother of mistakes is war", the
Israeli government was taking a new step to show that no flexible
position would be allowed. It is noteworthy that the decision to
build several new towns in the Halutza sands region - a part of the
Negev near the Gaza strip and along the border with Egypt-, was
taken on the same day Shimon Perez arrived to Egypt for a short
meeting with President Mubarak and Chairman Arafat. But would it be
too excessive to say that the Cabinet decision was intended to put
Perez on the "wrong side", albeit he did not spare his energy
reserves to convince his Arab interlocutors of Sharon's tight and
stiff point of view about keeping absolute calm for at least seven
days, before starting to implement the Mitchell Committee
recommendations? It is not amazing to state that as for Perez last
visit to Cairo, even the Israeli press was suspicious, since it is
not sure that he believes himself in the operational effect of the
message he has just delivered, unless in getting older he has grown
credulous, as well! But this is perhaps the style of Sharon's
management which has not been tested yet, neither by the Arabs nor
by the Israelis themselves, although everybody knows who is actually
Sharon and what he is aiming at. He did nothing to hide it anyway:
"No Zionist government will decide to transfer state land to a
foreign element", is he reported as saying on July 15's Yediot
Ahronot! There you are, peace seekers ! Your "land for peace"
principle is being merely thrashed and sent out to the trash can!
Those who protest that anyway Arafat had already rejected the deal
once proposed by Barak -: taking control of Halutza sands in return
for Israel's annexation of parts of the West Bank that contains the
heaviest concentrations of Jewish settlers -, omit that it is not so
much the Halutza future that matters to Sharon, for no Israeli Prime
Minister would ever have dared propose this land to the Palestinians
if it was really worth keeping for the Israelis, and this is also
the reason of Arafat's rejection. What actually motivated Sharon was
rather the will to veto any future negotiations involving the right
of return to the Palestinian refugees of 1967 and 1948's wars.
Otherwise, the obstacle upon which the American led Camp David
negotiations fell apart. That is the new style of Sharon's
government: keeping the pressure outside, while wedging the nail in
the coffin of the peace process inside! Whether Foreign Minister
Perez is aware of the game his boss is playing on his back or not,
is matter of speculation. For some Arab observers, the two men are
as "united" as Dr Jekill and Mr Hide. Anyway, when Perez landed in
Cairo, President Mubarak asked him whether he came to get things
ahead or to play time, reports say. And to make clear to what extent
Perez Opinion is really worth for the Israeli Prime Minister, His
spokesman was saying that he " made no secret that he doesn't intend
to allow the right of return of Palestinians to sovereign Israel".
And since these are the facts, apart from demolishing homes, firing
tank shells against civilians, penetrating the Palestinian
territories for a ten thousand time and taking people in custody or
even assassinating them, and repeating every day the same scenario
ruthlessly and tirelessly, while still complaining that the
Palestinians are a violent people that wants to force its way to the
"state" upon Israel and the whole world, what is the point of
sending out a former Nobel-prized Minister if not to ridiculise the
mere idea of working for peace with the Arabs? So, if Ariel Sharon
have never existed, would it have been necessary to create him ? It
is up to the Israelis to answer such a question.
Yet, it is not only the person of Perez that
is targeted, and it is not even his party who anyway failed to reach
any compromise with the Arabs, and this is why - don't forget it- it
is right now represented in Sharon Cabinet. What is actually
being targeted is the American involvement in the Peace Process.
This is something Sharon would be much happier if it never happened.
For it is obvious that the American refusal to back and condone all
his acts is so far what held him back from launching an all-out
military invasion of the Palestinian territories, - an option that
is still on all the newspapers, and on the Israelis' in first rank.
No later than July 12, Raanan Gissin,
spokesman of Ariel Sharon declared: " the army has plans to cover
all the possibilities", and he explained: "There are three options:
surrender to Arafat, to go ahead with this plan - to occupy - or to
continue the current course of restraint and self-defense. The
government has said it's committed to peace; but this situation
can't last forever. Yet, we know by some well-dosed leaks that when
the hard-line Ministers clamored for an assault on the Palestinians,
it is Sharon himself who, playing the doves, opposed it! What then ?
Has the big old man grown soft and flexible? What a great
disappointment for his admirators! Yet even if this is to add a
strain to an already black picture, one cannot omit the fact that by
the most fateful coincidence- !!- it is well since his ascencion to
power that the whole region grew steaming and boiling with rumors
about a looming war! These are not the Arab journalists trumpetting
for the Apocalypse, but well the Westerners and the Israelis as
well. All those who read the press know what the headlines were
about so far, and at last, some Israeli officials joined the chorus.
Here you have Reuven Rivlin, Israeli Communications Minister,
declaring:" Our patience is coming to an end, and we can't bear
every day another casualty"! And there you have his colleague, Dalia
Itzik, Industry Minister replying as an echo: "The scent of war is
in the air" ! One day Perez says: " War is the mother of mistakes"!
And another day - or even another hour!- his colleague in the
Cabinet, the same Rivlin, warns: " If everyone in Israel comes to a
conclusion that the elimination of Arafat is the only way to stop
violence, then we will be forced to do so"! Worst: we do not know
whether Perez represents the Government or no longer though he is
still part of it! Leaks still well dosed let us think that between
Sharon and his Foreign Affairs Minister there may be an important ,
though not a grave, dispute. For when Sharon referring in a Cabinet
reunion to the makers of the Oslo accords, said: "Anyone who thought
we could place our security in Arafat's hands was mistaken", he was
immediately replicated by Perez: "Without Arafat the situation will
only be more difficult". And since we know how "high" Arafat is
placed in Sharon's mind - :e.g. a "murderer", and a "pathological
liar"!- and vice-versa, no wonder if some Arab influent observers or
advisers to the PA Chairman or to Mr Mubarak, see Perez as an
isolated actor performing a "one-man-show" on the stage, in a
theatre deserted by the spectators! For one thing is clear: Whatever
his intentions, Perez is not going to re-invent Sharon and to sell
him to the recalcitrant neighbors. He has to deal with realities.
That is the only way for peace. In return, it is no less obvious
that he thinks that Arafat had been bypassed by his own people upon
which he could not get complete control, for according to July 16's
Ha'aretz, he told him in Cairo:" ...The Tanzim (paramilitary)
operatives in Hebron, who are subordinate to you and under your
responsibility, carry out these terrorist attacks"! And since this
is his own statement, how could he back Sharon's tight and stiff
view and ask Arafat for an absolute calm during seven days? And what
is this "absolute calm " anyway, which does not exist even in Paris
or London? This is exactly the "counterproductive" kind of
conditions that would only inflame the situation, for they are
perceived as provocations by the Palestinians, who undergo the daily
humiliating plight of the occupation.
The need " to change the rhetoric" is thus
appliable to the Israelis themselves, but would they care? Is it not
odd that those who officially make of the murder of their opponents
a policy of the State, ask the others to "change the rhetoric"? And
if we make the effort of reading what is printed black on white in
the Israeli papers, we would not miss to note that there is even
worse than the Israelis acknowledge. For example, Maariv published
recently excerpts of what it called a top-secret document prepared
last fall by the Shin Bet and presented to then-Prime Minister Barak:
" Arafat, it says, is a severe threat to the security of Israel. The
damage from his disappearance is less compared to the damage from
his continued survival".
The document has been authentified, and even
presented to Sharon, as it seems. So, when exactly did that talk
about murder start? With Sharon or with Barak?
Maybe it is pointless to argue now about who
started what, but it is quite evident that if rumors are part of the
show and that they are wanted for their effects, some acts and facts
cannot be denied: on June 2, following a suicide operation that
killed 21 people outside a Tel Aviv disco, a large-scale attack on
Palestinian territories has been put off by Arafat's announcement of
a cease-fire. The point is that a great number of observers have
been wondering since then: For when has that assault been
postpointed?
The American envoys- it is true - are keeping
the pressure on Sharon, as well as on Arafat. Tenet, Powell, Burns,
Satterfield did their job, undoubtedly. Yet, they can do more than
what it has been done, so far: this is a widespread opinion among
the Arabs and the Europeans as well. Mr Richard Boucher, State
Department spokesman, explained lately that the travel of Mr
Satterfield following up on the discussions that Mr Burns and Mr
Powell held in the region, aimed at " improving security
cooperation, the restoration of calm and progress towards the
implementation of the Mitchell Committee recommendations in all
their aspects ". He made sure that the Administration is "troubled"
by the Israeli entry into the Palestinian territories and the
demolition of homes in Jerusalem and Rafah... Yet, if one must
acknowledge that without this American "presence", the situation
would have been worse, it is obvious though that the Americans are
not putting even 1/10 of their weight in the balance, which is
precisely what they are reproached. As a matter of fact, it sounds
as if the Americans have no alternatives. Mr Boucher said: " it is
important to stop the violence, it is important that the parties
themselves bear down and stop the violence through their own
efforts", and this is also what everybody says, either in the Bush
Administration or in Europe, or even in the inflamed region. Yet, on
the ground it seems sometimes lunatic! And the reason for that
failure is well known: there is a difference between discourses and
concepts and operational plans. And it is precisely that difference
which makes a policy sound or unsound, realistic or fanciful. And it
is odd, above all, that the Americans who have been dealing with the
region for as much years as the Israeli state may afford, are still
so "shy" and hesitant in their dealing!
"The US has not given a green light for any
Israeli military action", said Susan Pittman, speaking for the State
Department recently; and this may be okay and "almost" true! "
Almost" because Sharon would not need it to send his tanks into the
Palestinian territories, a thing - you would observe- he did not
refrain from doing, despite the presence of The American envoy in
the region. That is also Sharon's new style of managing. He would
not go to Washington in order to get a " green light" . What for, if
he can profite of the presence of an American envoy and send out his
tanks to break the Palestinian bones? Indeed, no American diplomat
would ever say to Sharon: " Yes, go ahead! Crush them!" But did he
really need that? Had he asked the Americans for their "green light"
when he invaded Lebanon in June 1982 or - better - when he
supervised the butchery in Sabra and Chatila? What ? Are the
Americans so naive or amnesic?
Let's proceed in order. Upon which country the
Israelis are relying for their military equipment? That same
equipment that allows them to behave just as they do. Uncle Sam
could not have lost the sense of the realities, since this is a
matter of public records. We know that since 1950, the United States
has provided more than $46 billion dollars in grant military aid to
Israel. Besides, Israel has also received many billions more in
grant 'economic aid', loans for military purchases and used American
armaments. Would anyone pretend then that the US cannot do more to
bring peace to the Middle East? Who knows Israel more than the US,
and who better than those who know can pressure and ask for concrete
steps?
To say that the US has not accorded a green
light for Sharon is perhaps true. Yet, it is inaccurate in the light
of what has been happening for years. For while the Israeli
defense-industrial complex that the United States helped to build
was becoming one of the world's most competitive arms exporters,
Washington could not ignore that some of Israel deals were not only
unlawful but also harmful for the American State itself. What did
the former administrations to stop Israeli cooperation with
countries such as Cambodia, Colombia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, China,
Burma, Zambia etc... who are all either under embargoes or severe
restrictions? And what about helping China build its current F-10
fighter jet, thanks to American technology, or transferring a
Patriot Missile as it has been rumored to the Chineese? And who has
forgotten the quite recent affair of the Awacs? It took more than
half a year of intense pressure, including unofficial sanctions and
threats to further withhold certain types of US technology, before
Israel was forced to abandon the sale! That shows at least that when
Washington wants to pressure really, it gets things done or undone.
Yet, Israel was not hindred in 1999 from selling a Phalcon airborne
radar to China worth $250 million. And though Israel pretended that
the Phalcon does not contain US technology, the American officials
said " the system is closely related to the Awacs"!
Did the Israelis ask for the American green
light when they transferred US technology to countries under
restrictions thus abusing their own allies and helpers? And what
about the section 4 of the Arms Export Act, that stresses that
weapons may only be used for the purposes of "legitimate
self-defense"? Were the F-16 fighter jets "self-defending" when they
unleashed their laser-guided bombs on the civilians who took refuge
in a UN asylum in 1997, in Lebanon, or even more recently in the
Palestinian territories?
Of course, the Arabs can understand that the
US want to keep the alliance with Israel strong and sound. This is a
matter of sovereignty. It is not to be discussed. But what seems
irrational for the Arabs is the fact that although pretending to
have a word in the future of the region and really shifting their
policy to be more credible - especially since the collapse of the
former Soviet Union and the end of the cold war- , Washington is not
actually pressuring in order to get things done, as they know it can
do. Many keys are in the American hands, but they are not playing
them: weapons,technology, economic and financial assistance, and so
much other items, and still, nothing has been done since the arrival
of Mr Bush to the White House. So, it is quite understandable that
there is matter for worrying.
Now, was it to hinder these worries from
growing into disappointment and bewilderment that ex-President
George Bush called Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah last month, as it has
been reported on July 16's Washington Post issue, to "assure him of
his son's good intentions toward the Middle East" ? Anyway, the call
did not go unnoticed, and though unuseful in a country like the USA,
it is sure that in the present context it makes sense.
Hichem
Karoui is a writer and journalist living in Paris, France.
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