I. The Roots of Ethnic Antagonism
The conventional wisdom espoused by most
commentators is that the Balkans crisis was the result of a
deep-rooted aggressive nationalism, arising out of ethnic and
religious tensions that are rooted deep in history. The public has
consistently been fed stories of ‘Balkan power-plays’ and the clash of
political personalities in explaining the causes of conflict. However,
there is a fatal flaw in this widespread notion that the break up of
Yugoslavia was merely the result of ethnic tensions that had a long
history in the region, and which eventually became uncontrollable - a
notion adopted for example by Balkans historian Misha Glenn. What is
left out in such narratives is an adequate explanation of the causes
of the sudden aggravation of ethnic tensions. As is noted by the
distinguished British economist, Michael Barratt Brown, “What Tito
created was a Yugoslavia in which people could live together in
relative ease and freedom. Given that, why then did it all
disintegrate after fifty years?”[1]
Misha Glenn provides no clear answer to this question. The reasons
behind the break down of Yugoslavia’s federal constitution remains
somewhat of a mystery given that we have no explanation of the causes
of the surge in ethnic tensions despite almost five decades of
relative peace. Why after all these years did ethnic tensions erupt
with such sudden and inexorable intensity? The question has been posed
well by Brown: “The resurgence of Great Serb nationalism, which had
been successfully contained for over fifty years, must have had some
occasion.” Brown argues that this occasion “was related to the
collapse of the Yugoslav economy”.[2]
This argument is tenable precisely because of the fact that the
Yugoslav Federation was in itself a generally stable entity in which
ethnic tensions had not posed a major threat to the unity of the
Republic for decades. The disintegration of Yugoslavia could only
therefore occur under the auspices of considerable political and
economic restructuring.
Indeed, it is a matter of historical record
that ethnic conflict in Yugoslavia was preceded by a politico-economic
crisis that racked the federation from the beginning of the 1980s,
provoked primarily by foreign interference. In the 1980s, Anthropologist
George Vid Tomashevsich - a Professor at the University of Buffalo – while
admitting that the Yugoslav Federation was in itself entirely “viable”,
had warned against foreign interference in Yugoslavia, noting that it
would inevitably result in the aggravation of ethnic tensions leading
ultimately to the catastrophic break-up of the Federation. He noted that
massive political and economic restructuring was essential for this to
occur. In a letter to the New York Times, Professor George Vid
Tomashevsich forecasted that “splitting up the admittedly imperfect but
viable Yugoslav Federation would be virtually impossible without drastic
and brutal political and economic surgery, which at best could not fully
satisfy any of the separated parts. Every conceivable divorce between
Serbia and Croatia would of necessity involve not only a painful partition
of Bosnia and Herzegovina but also the explosive question of the ethnic
identity of the Yugoslav Moslems and nightmarish ex-changes of hundreds of
thousands of uprooted Serbs and Croats from the disputed territories...”
Here Tomaschevsich had virtually anticipated the entire essence of the
Bosnian conflict that erupted in the 1990s, but most critically he had
also noted the crucial fact that such a sudden conflagration “would be
virtually impossible without drastic and brutal political and economic
surgery.”
[3] The next pertinent
issue to ponder, then, is the nature of the politico-economic
restructuring that was essential for the disintegration of Yugoslavia to
occur, and the causes of this restructuring.
II. U.S. Interests and Policy in the Balkans
Foreign interference spearheaded in
particular by the United States, but also followed through by the
Western European powers, appears to lie at the root of this issue.
Several specialists have noted the instrumental role of the West’s
macro-economic policies in providing just the sort of “drastic and
brutal political and economic surgery” which precipitated and lay at
the roots of the disintegration of Yugoslavia. The process of
macro-economic and political intervention in the Federal Republic was
initiated by the United States, and appears to have been undertaken
with extensive planning rooted in long-standing strategic and economic
interests in the region. In February 1999, a hint of this planning was
revealed by James Hooper, Director of the Balkan Action Council and
former Balkan affairs chief of the U.S. State Department. Speaking at
the Holocaust Museum, Hooper stated that it was necessary to accept
that the Balkans “are a region of strategic interests for the United
States, the new Berlin if you will”. He further described the Balkans
as “the testing ground of NATO’s resolve and U.S. leadership.”[4]
Other commentators have noted the interests of the United
States and other Western European countries in the Balkans. The New York
Times, for example, observed that the U.S. in particular intended to
extend and consolidate its hegemony in Eastern Europe (including
Yugoslavia), as well as other regions of the world, in the post-Cold War
years. The policy of NATO-led expansion has been given a new lease of life
by the demise of the Soviet Union, which has granted the U.S. a much freer
hand in world affairs. “Now, in the years after the cold war, the United
States is again establishing suzerainty over the empire of a former foe”,
reported America’s newspaper of record. “The disintegration of the Soviet
Union has prompted the United States to expand its zone of military
hegemony into Eastern Europe (through NATO) and into formerly neutral
Yugoslavia.”[5]
A further report in the respected British newsletter, The Intelligence
Digest, clarifies that the expansion into the Balkans has been propelled
fundamentally by commercial interests,[6]
a notion corroborated by a report in the Nation by U.S. Balkan expert Joan
Hoey, which points out that the international community has been eager to
retain access to regional resources.[7]
Two declassified documents in particular throw significant
light on the nature of U.S. planning in this regard. In 1982, a National
Security Decision Directive on Eastern Europe (NSDD 54) stated that “the
primary long-term U.S. goal in Eastern Europe” was “to [censored...]
facilitate its eventual re-integration into the European community of
nations”, and thereby into the U.S.-dominated global economy.[8]
NSDD 54 was later succeeded and updated by another document in 1984. In a
new ‘Secret Sensitive’ National Security Decision Directive (NSDD 133)
entitled ‘United States Policy towards Yugoslavia’, declassified in 1990,
the Reagan administration targeted the Yugoslav economy by outlining the
fundamental U.S. objective of pursuing “expanded efforts to promote a
‘quiet revolution’ to overthrow Communist governments and parties”, while
thereby reintegrating the countries of Eastern Europe into the orbit of
the capitalist world market.[9]
These directives identified the direction of change in Yugoslavia that the
United States wished to impose. The transition toward a free market
economy and the integration of Yugoslavia into the global economy was the
principal objective of U.S. policy, to be obtained by dismantling the
existing socialist system of self-managed enterprises.[10]
U.S. policy therefore aimed to eliminate “the collectivized property forms
and other gains won by the socialist revolution in Yugoslavia”. This,
however, also implied “destroying the multinational state as well.”[11]
According to available evidence then, the method by which
the U.S. would achieve its goal of reintegrating Eastern Europe into a
“world order... ultimately backed by the United States”,[12]
was via the dismantling of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. This was
reported, for instance, by The Intelligence Digest, which noted that: “The
original U.S.-German design for the former Yugoslavia [included] an
independent Muslim-Croat dominated Bosnia-Herzegovina in alliance with an
independent Croatia and alongside a greatly weakened Serbia.”[13]
Western strategy therefore originally aimed at carving up the region into
three mini-states.[14]
That the U.S. had indeed intended the disintegration of the Federal
Republic in this manner was actually admitted explicitly by then U.S.
Ambassador to Yugoslavia Warren Zimmerman. The U.S. Ambassador
acknowledged in a 1992 interview regarding U.S. policy in the Balkans: “We
are aiming for a dissolution of Yugoslavia into independent states” - he
added the qualification “peacefully”.[15]
However, as already discussed above, the dissolution of Yugoslavia could
only happen through severe political and economic surgery which would
aggravate ethnic tensions to potentially fatal levels, making civil
conflict virtually inevitable.[16]
III. American and European Macro-Economic Interference in Yugoslavia
Given that the disintegration of Yugoslavia had been an
integral dimension of U.S. strategy in the Balkans, it is unsurprising
to find that massive macro-economic intervention in Yugoslavia began
in the early 1980s. Secessionist tendencies based on social and ethnic
divisions escalated in the wake of the increasing impoverishment of
the Yugoslav population, which resulted from the first phase of
macro-economic reform imposed by the United States on the Federation
under the tutelage of international financial institutions. University
of Paris economist Sean Gervasi reports that this first phase of
macro-economic reform initiated in 1980 shortly before the death of
Marshall Tito, “wreaked economic and political havoc... Slower growth,
the accumulation of foreign debt and especially the cost of servicing
it as well as devaluation led to a fall in the standard of living of
the average Yugoslav... The economic crisis threatened political
stability... it also threatened to aggravate simmering ethnic
tensions”.[17]
The second major phase of reform was in full swing by the beginning of
the 1990s, having effectively begun in late 1989 just prior to the
fall of the Berlin Wall, when the Yugoslav Federal Premier Ante
Marcovic was called to Washington. Then U.S. President George Bush
informed Marcovic that Yugoslavia must “immediately dismantle its
socialized economy, hold multi-party elections and move to a full
market economy”.[18]
Unless Marcovic agreed, Yugoslavia would be cut off from the IMF, the
World Bank and the entire capitalist world. Only if he complied with
the U.S. demands would economic aid and trade continue, leaving
Marcovic in an effective Catch 22 situation: If he refused to comply
with U.S. requirements Yugoslavia would face utter economic isolation
from the international community; yet compliance with U.S.
requirements hardly had better prospects. The 1989 IMF loan
accompanying Yugoslavia’s compliance was tied to a brutal, U.S.
imposed austerity programme that cut wages to workers and subsidies to
state industries throughout the country, devalued the currency,
ordered the shutting down of numerous state owned industries, and the
lay-off of tens of thousands of workers.[19]
Indeed, Marcovic himself had warned the U.S. that the reforms to be
imposed were “bound to bring social problems [including] an increase
in unemployment to about 20 percent and the threat of an increased
ethnic and political tension among the country’s six republics and two
autonomous provinces.”[20]
Marcovic accepted President Bush’s proposal, culminating in
the passing of official legislation in the U.S. regarding the new
politico-economic relations to be held with Yugoslavia. On 5 November
1990, the U.S. Congress passed the 1991 Foreign Operations Appropriations
Law 101-513, a piece of legislation that echoed the face-to-face U.S.
order to Marcovic discussed above, enshrining the transaction into an
integral part of U.S. law, but with additional stipulations of
catastrophic import. The Foreign Operations Appropriations Law enforced
the almost immediate severing of all aid, trade, credits and loans from
the U.S. to Yugoslavia within six months. It also ensured more
specifically that all U.S. personnel in international financial
institutions such as the IMF or the World Bank, were to implement the
severing of all credits and loans. The Law ordered separate elections in
each of the six republics that compose Yugoslavia, with each republic
requiring the approval of election procedures and results by the U.S.
State Department as a condition for the renewal of aid to the separate
republics. In this respect, the State Department was only to permit funds
to groups defined by itself as “democratic forces”.[21]
Most significant is a revealing CIA report of
the time which anticipated the impact that the Foreign Operations
Appropriations Law would have on the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.
According to the New York Times, the CIA report “predicted that the
federated Yugoslavia will break apart most probably in the next 18 months
and that civil war is highly likely”, if the injunctions of the bill were
implemented.[22]
Clearly then, the bill had been passed with “civil war” having been
anticipated as an inevitable consequence of the new legislation. In
context with U.S. Ambassador Zimmerman’s confession that the primary U.S.
objective in the region was to attain “the dissolution of Yugoslavia”, it
is only reasonable to conclude that the CIA prediction constituted one of
the very reasons that the bill was passed. Certainly, it seems that the
U.S. Administration consciously followed through with a policy that it
knew would lead to the disintegration of Yugoslavia through war.
The U.S. policy established a precedent in the Balkans for
the other Western powers. With such decisive action undertaken by the U.S.
toward Yugoslavia in 1990, the European powers were certainly not going to
allow themselves to be mere bystanders to the enforced break-up of a
country within their own continent. The U.S. Foreign Appropriations Bill
effectively signalled that Yugoslavia and, indeed, the entirety of the
Balkans, were once again ready for the taking. With the U.S. leading the
way by its own interventionist example, the European powers were spurred
to implement similar policies. Hence, by February 1991 the Council of
Europe mimicked the U.S. measures with its own political and economic
demands related to the internal affairs of the Yugoslav Federation. Their
demand was similar to that of the U.S.: Yugoslavia must hold multi-party
elections or otherwise face absolute economic blockade.
[23]
Ultimately, the result was that the Yugoslav federal
government went into crisis, being unable to pay the huge interest on its
foreign debt, or to arrange the purchase of raw materials for industry.
Credit collapsed and recriminations broke out from all sides. There
remained an isolated influx of U.S. funds to small right-wing nationalist
parties in the separate republics, consisting of fascist organisations not
prominent since the defeat of the Nazi occupation by the antifascist
partisan movement nearly 50 years ago. These previously insignificant
ultra-nationalist groups, conveniently falling under the evidently
flexible label “democratic forces”, were thus suddenly revived under the
reception of covert support. Becoming the primary beneficiaries of funds
and arms, they consequently went on to play their major role in fuelling
ethnic and nationalistic divisions, expanding and consolidating power
amidst an economic crisis that included the devaluation of currency, the
freezing of wages, the cutting of subsidies, the closing down of
state-industries which were unprofitable for Western capitalist investors,
and the increase in unemployment to 20 per cent. Hence, there arose an
increase in strikes, walkouts, political and economic tensions, and
nationalist antagonisms.[24]
Ethnic tensions with the clear potential of flaring into an
outright “civil war” were therefore a direct product of macro-economic
intervention and political interference by the international community. As
late as 1988, an enterprising U.S. journalist deployed in Belgrade could
hardly find any proof of ethnic fervour with all the corresponding social
tensions implied therein. On the contrary, he found that the initial
impact of IMF shock therapy consisted of huge and repeated strikes among
other labour actions, as opposed to the rise of ethnic tensions. Only when
macro-economic and political restructuring had successfully eliminated all
options for a normal economic life did ethnic tensions - exacerbated by
the rise of Western-backed nationalist groups who were previously of minor
significance - become rife, escalating to dangerous proportions.[25]
As the economist Michael Barratt Brown thus rightly observes, “In these
circumstances the break-up of the federation was inevitable”.[26]
U.S. historian Barry Lituchy, a specialist in European history, has aptly
described this process of Western politico-economic intervention in
Yugoslavia as “a time bomb that permanently destabilized the country”.[27]
IV. Economic Destabilisation Preceded and Caused Ethnic Antagonism
The international community’s intervention thus
resulted in the reversal of Yugoslavia’s economic and social
achievements in the post-war period prior to 1980. Observers point out
that the Federation had at this time been a regional economic success
whose laudable achievements included the growth of GDP at an average
of 6.1 per annum over a twenty year period (1960-1980); free medical
care with one doctor per 550 population; a literacy rate at the order
of 91 percent; life expectancy at 72 years;[28]
and the fact that “a central element in the federal constitution had
been the required redistribution of income from the rich north to the
poor south.”[29]
Under the imposition of macro-economic reform as dictated by the
Western powers and their international financial institutions, by the
end of 1990 the growth of GDP “had collapsed to a negative 7.5%, and
industrial production to a negative 10% growth rate. In 1991, the GDP
declined by a further 15% while industrial output shrank by another
21%.”[30]
IMF structural adjustment programmes meant that state revenues were
used up in servicing Belgrade’s foreign debt, although they should
have gone as transfer payments to the republics and provinces,
particularly in this precarious time of escalating social tension and
disorder. As a result of this severing of the main financial links
between Belgrade and the republics, macro-economic reform led to the
collapse of Yugoslavia’s federal fiscal structures, thereby fatally
damaging its federal political institutions. Nationalist groups who
continued to be in receipt of covert international support were able
to increasingly exploit the situation, thus dramatically fuelling
secessionist tendencies that fed on economic factors as well as ethnic
divisions. The escalation of nationalist politics throughout
Yugoslavia was exacerbated by the increasingly unequal distribution of
wealth in the Yugoslav federation under macro-economic reform that
favoured Slovenia and Croatia. This in turn further aggravated ethnic
resentments, rivalries and separatist nationalism. Thus, as Barry
Lituchy rightly records, “nationalism was only the ideological shell
within which capitalist restoration was politically expressed, it was
not the source of the conflict.”[31]
This combination of processes rooted ultimately in Western
interference was instrumental in “virtually ensuring the de facto
secession of the republics.”[32]
In this environment of manufactured discontent
and ethnic factionalism, the rise of Serb nationalism amidst the
dislocation of the republics was an entirely predictable consequence. When
the republics’ respective Communist Parties fell apart, only the army,
predominantly officered by Serbs, was left to hold the country together.
The army backed the appearance of “strong man” Slobodan Milosevic to save
the federation. “If the strong man had great Serb ambitions, that was
inevitable in the circumstances” that had been engineered under
international tutelage.[33]
Given this sequence of events, it is certain that the Bosnian conflict
simply would not have occurred if the West had not interfered in the
internal affairs of the Federation.
Thus, the massive aggravation of ethnic tensions arose as a
consequence of economic restructuring under the tutelage of Western
financial institutions. This does not remove responsibility from the
various parties for their role in the ensuing conflict. However, it
highlights that the economic and political chaos essential to establish
circumstances conducive to the conflict were deliberately manufactured by
the policies of the United States and Western Europe. The Western powers
attempted to destabilise the country through the dismantling of the
Federation into several manageable mini-states under international
financial control.[34]
Macro-economic reform and political manipulation wreaked economic and
political havoc resulting in disintegration of the industrial sector and
the dismantling of the Yugoslav Welfare State. As Canadian economist
Michel Chossudovsky records, “Macro-economic restructuring applied in
Yugoslavia under the neoliberal policy agenda has unequivocally
contributed to the destruction of an entire country”.[35]
V. Conclusion
The conventional understanding of the
causes of the Bosnian conflict is therefore not only inaccurate, it
also veils the instrumental role of the international community in
engineering the conditions which were predicted to be catastrophic for
the country. Instead, the consequences of Western intervention – i.e.
cultural, ethnic and religious divisions - are highlighted and
dogmatically presented as the only roots of the crisis. Yet ethnic
conflict was, in reality, the result of an ongoing process of
politico-economic restructuring deliberately introduced by the Western
powers with the explicit objective of dismantling the existing
socialist system, and carving the country into separate manageable
client states integrated into the international economic system.
In 1997, the role of the international financial
institutions operating under Western tutelage in the collapse of communism
in Moscow, led the Wall Street Journal to assert editorially that the IMF
was now the single most destructive force on earth. The same Western
financial institutions have clearly played a similarly destructive role in
the sudden disintegration of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia that
culminated in the Bosnian war, and a string of new Balkans crises. As U.S.
political economist Jude Wanniski thus accurately observes, “The Fund, for
the most part controlled by the international banks through their
influence at the U.S. Treasury, is truly the satanic force that
precipitated the crisis in the Balkans.”[36]
Such policies that impose themselves upon the
internal affairs of a sovereign state are clearly nonsensical within the
framework of Western humanitarian benevolence – yet they do, however,
become intelligible within the framework of Western self-interest. The war
that erupted in Yugoslavia did so as a direct result of a planned sequence
of Western macro-economic and political interference. The humanitarian
catastrophe of Bosnia had been thus been consciously engineered by the
Western powers under U.S. leadership, in accordance with a variety of
longstanding strategic and economic objectives. The example of Yugoslavia
therefore calls into fundamental question the motives of the international
community in undertaking what are ostensibly supposed to be humanitarian
operations, when it is their own policies which have been responsible for
igniting one of the worst wars in the late Twentieth Century, one whose
legacy continues to be in effect to this day.
This has extremely significant implications
for those who are concerned about conflict prevention and resolution. To
implement meaningful measures to decrease the chances of conflict, it is
essential to confront the fundamental causes of such conflict. The example
of Yugoslavia illustrates that it is essential to understand the role of
the international community under U.S. leadership in the aggravation of
conflict. Indeed, this example demonstrates that it is absolutely
necessary, if not urgent, to consider the implications of the West’s role
with respect to the structure of world order, because without addressing
this structure and whether it is actually conducive to peace, it will
remain increasingly difficult to move toward a genuinely more peaceful
world. The catastrophe that engulfed Yugoslavia leading to the Bosnian
crisis, and which even now threatens to engulf the entirety of the
Balkans, shows that unless the structure of world order and the Western
powers’ role within it is properly addressed, it will not be possible to
forestall outbreaks of future conflict which may result from the inherent
flaws in this role. While the conviction of war criminals such as Krstic
is to be applauded, the studious avoidance of the complicity of the United
States and Europe in humanitarian catastrophe by international
institutions must be resolutely condemned. Unless this issue is properly
addressed, and with appropriate urgency, institutions such as the Hague’s
International War Crimes Tribunal will fail to convict the global players
who are responsible for churning out catastrophe after catastrophe, war
criminal after war criminal, genocide after genocide. Until then,
meaningful justice will never be served, and the blood of innocent men,
women and children will continue to stain this earth.
Notes:
[1]
Barratt Brown, Michael, Models in Political Economy,
Penguin, London, 1995, p. 261. Although it is true that Tito’s
regime was one of relative freedom and peaceful multiethnic
co-existence, the regime was nevertheless highly oppressive of
Muslims, which provides some explanation as to why Muslims in
Bosnia desired an independent state. Apart from this one cannot
speak of any substantial ethnic tensions. Historian Professor
Salahi Sonyel of Near East University of North Cyprus provides a
lucid summary of Tito’s repression of Yugoslav Muslims: “The
Communist Party under Tito, after seizing power in Yugoslavia,
boldly proceeded to abolish religious courts, to close religious
schools, seized property, abolished Islamic societies, in
particular the Association of Young Muslims, hampered the Islamic
press, except for one monthly journal... which continued
publication but under Communist control, desposed religious
leaders, and performed many other actions which clearly showed
their determination to destroy all traces of Islam in Croatia,
Bosnia-Herzegovina, and throughout Yugoslavia. The Bosnian Muslims
did not remain silent in the face of these persecutions. But
Tito’s Government tried to crush Muslim protests with organized
tyranny, persecution, and oppression, and set up courts to try
Bosnian Muslim dissidents... When the Communist regime of Marshal
Josip Broz Tito took over the government of Yugoslavia in 1945, it
strove to annihilate all Islamic religious organizations by the
imprisonment of all its religious leaders, nationalized property
belonging to all religious organizations, and forced out of
existence all Islamic courts of justice, thus trying totally to
obliterate Islamic religious life. Muslim religious leaders were
replaced by Communists. Muslim schools in which imam
students formerly received training, were deprived of their
property... This was the plight of the Muslims under the Communist
regime in Yugoslavia, until its collapse following the death of
Tito.” (Sonyel, Salahi Ramadan, The Muslims of Bosnia: Genocide
of a People, The Islamic Foundation, Leicester, 1994, p. 26-7)
[2]
Barratt Brown, Michael, Models in Political Economy, op. cit., p.
262.
[3]
Tomashevsich, George Vid, letter to New York Times, 1 April 1980.
[4]
Cited in Grossholtz, Jean, ‘How to Think About War, or A Pox on Both
Your Houses’, Peacework, May 1999. Peacework is the
monthly journal of the American Friends Service Committee (AFSC).
[5]
Heilbrunn, Jacob and Lind, Michael, ‘The Third American Empire’, New
York Times, 2 January 1996.
[6]
‘The Commercial Factor Behind NATO’s Extended Remit’, Intelligence
Digest, 29 May 1992.
[7]
Hoey, Joan, ‘The U.S. “Great Game” in Bosnia’, Nation, 30 January
1995. As pointed out by political analyst and former U.S.
Attorney-General during the Lyndon Johnson Administration, Ramsey Clark,
at the January 1996 Prague Conference on the Enlargement of NATO, the
U.S. has indeed has long-standing interests in Eastern Europe, including
Yugoslavia. “Don’t think that NATO isn’t planning the map of Europe
every day, knowing exactly what it wants it to look like. Don’t think
they don’t know the composition of the peoples, the physical terrain and
the natural resources, the industry and all the rest. They’re working on
it constantly,” warned Ramsey Clark. “And if you think a country is too
small for them to be interested in, you just haven’t seen anything. Was
Grenada bigger? There’s never been a military engagement in history
where so many armed troops went so far to attack so few. A people with
no defense. The Pentagon inflicted more casualties per capita on the
Grenadian population than the United States lost in World War II. Don’t
think there’s not a purpose to it. Not long after Tito died, as the
influence of the Soviet Union declined and its capacity to intervene in
anything became negligible - which made the Persian Gulf War possible -
the plans to divide Yugoslavia were under way. There can’t be any doubt
about that. Just look at our legislation, look at what so many people
have said in memoirs and other things. The plans were under way. And
there are lots of interests in there...
The purposes of dismantling
Yugoslavia have to be understood. Germany obviously had a keen interest.
Everybody knew when it was dismantled there would be hell to pay. The
United States used ways to direct the violence, and for four or five
years now the violence has been directed in the way the United States
likes to fight a war - ‘You and them fight’.” (Clark, Ramsey et.
al., Nato in the Balkans: Voices of Opposition, International
Action Center, New York, 1998)
[8]
Cited in Chossudovsky, Michel, ‘Dismantling Yugoslavia, colonizing
Bosnia’, in Clark, Ramsey et. al., Nato in the Balkans: Voices of
Opposition, op. cit. This paper appeared originally in the quarterly
current affairs journal edited by former CIA officials, Covert Action
Quarterly, No. 56, Spring 1996. Michel Chossudovsky is Professor of
Economics at the University of Ottawa.
[9]
Cited in ibid. Also see Gervasi, Sean, ‘Germany, U.S. and the Yugoslav
Crisis’, Covert Action Quarterly, No. 43, Winter 1992-93. The
late Sean Gervasi was a leading authority on Balkan affairs who was a
Research Professor at Belgrade’s Institute of International Politics and
Economics, a consultant to the UN for 25 years, and a Professor of
Economics at the University of Paris.
[10]
A leaked 1990s Pentagon document provides considerable background
insight into this expansionist dimension of U.S. policy. “Our first
objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival... we must
maintain the mechanism for deterring potential competitors from even
aspiring to a larger regional or global role... It is of fundamental
importance to preserve NATO as the primary instrument of Western defense
and security as well as the channel for US influence and participation
in European security affairs... We must seek to prevent the emergence of
European-only security arrangements which would undermine NATO.” This is
rooted in the “dominant consideration underlying the new regional
defence strategy”, which is the U.S. “endeavour to prevent any hostile
power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated
control, be sufficient to generate global power”, these regions
including Western Europe, East Asia, the former Soviet Union and the
Middle East. In accord with the principle of maintaining “the sense that
the world order is ultimately backed by the United States”, these
regions should therefore be integrated into the US-dominated global
capitalist system, and thereby brought under U.S. hegemony. (New York
Times, 8 March 1992; International Herald Tribune, 9 March
1992; Washington Post, 22 March 1992; Times, 25 May 1992)
Indeed, the hegemonic and almost imperialistic tenore of U.S. foreign
policy was explicitly indicated in a
declassified top-secret post-war planning report produced
by the U.S. State Department’s policy planning staff, headed at the time
(February 1948) by George Kennan: “We have about 50 per cent of the
world’s wealth, but only 6.3 per cent of its population... In this
situation, we cannot fail to be the object of envy and resentment. Our
real task in the coming period is to devise a pattern of relationships
which will permit us to maintain this position of disparity without
positive detriment to our national security. To do so we will have to
dispense with all sentimentality and day-dreaming; and our attention
will have to be concentrated everywhere on our immediate national
objectives [including that of “devis[ing] a pattern of relationships
which will permit us to maintain” the “position of disparity” between
the West and the rest of the world]. We need not deceive ourselves that
we can afford the luxury of altruism and world-benefaction... We should
cease to talk about vague and... unreal objectives such as human rights,
the raising of living standards, and democratization. The day is not far
off when we will have to deal in straight power concepts. The less we
are then hampered by idealistic slogans, the better.” (Policy Planning
Staff, ‘Review of current trends: US foreign policy’, 24 February, 1948,
FRUS, Volume 1, Part 2, pp. 510-29)
[11]
Lituchy, Barry, ‘The CIA War in the Balkans (and its Defenders)’, The
College Voice, College of Staten Island, CUNY, May 1995. Barry
Lituchy is Professor of European History at Kingsborough Community
College, City University of New York.
[12]
1990s Pentagon document cited in note 10.
[13]
‘Bonn’s Balkans-to-Teheran policy’, Intelligence Digest, 25
August 1995.
[14]
Hindsight reveals that this strategy was later modified to carve the
region into only two such states involving the de facto partition of the
Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina between the Republic of Croatia and
the Republic of Serbia.
[15]
U.S. Ambassador Warren Zimmerman in an interview with the Croatian daily
Danas, 12 January 1992.
[16]
That the “dissolution of Yugoslavia” could not happen peacefully has
always been exceedingly obvious. As mentioned above, anthropologist
George Vid Tomashevsich explained this fact as early as 1980 in a letter
to the New York Times (1 April 1980).
[17]
Gervasi, Sean, ‘Germany, U.S. and the Yugoslav Crisis’, op. cit.
[18]
Lituchy, Barry, ‘The CIA War in the Balkans (and its Defenders)’, op.
cit.
[20]
Glenny, Misha, ‘The Massacre of Yugoslavia’, New York Times Review of
Books, 30 January 1992, p. 34
[21]
Flounders, Sara, ‘Bosnia Tragedy: The unknown role of the Pentagon’, in
Clark, Ramsey et. al., Nato in the Balkans: Voices of Opposition,
op. cit. Sara Flounders is national Co-Director of Ramsey Clark’s
International Action Center and a member of the prosecutor team of the
International Commission of Inquiry into NATO’s war in Yugoslavia.
[22]
New York Times, 27 November 1990; 28 November 1990.
[23]
Flounders, Sara, ‘Bosnia Tragedy: The unknown role of the Pentagon’, op.
cit.
[24]
Ibid. Also see Lituchy, Barry, ‘The CIA War in the Balkans (and its
Defenders)’, op. cit.
[25]
Memo to Secretary of State Madeleine Albright from Jude Wanniski, ‘Re: A
Polyconomics Report, Six Years Ago [The IMF and the Balkan Crisis (5 May
1993)]’, Polyconomics, Inc., 8 April 1999, http://www.polyconomics.com/.
The role of Western macro-economic intervention in the break-up of
Yugoslavia has been acknowledged in the above report by the leading
conservative American political economist Jude Wanniski, former
Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal and founder of the
internationally acclaimed independent research group Polyconomics, Inc.:
“When the IMF shock therapy hit Yugoslavia, the initial form of social
disorder was not ethnic friction but massive and repeated strikes and
other labor actions. As late as 1988, an enterprising US journalist
deployed in Belgrade had difficulty finding evidence of ethnic passions…
Ordinary people turned into ethnic monsters only after all their options
for a normal economic life were destroyed. ‘Ethnic cleansing’ arrived
only after ‘shock therapy’ had done its work. Finally, on December 14,
1992, when dinar devaluation reached the IMF’s theoretical ideal of
infinite percent with the dissolution of the state that used to issue
dinars, civilized life ended and was replaced by a ‘natural state of
war’, as political philosopher John Locke predicted would invariably
happen when organized government disappears from a people’s life.”
Wanniski’s important report thus concludes: “With the collapse of
communism in Moscow two years ago, The Wall Street Journal
asserted editorially that the IMF was now the single most destructive
force on earth. The Fund, for the most part controlled by the
international banks through their influence at the US Treasury, is truly
the satanic force that precipitated the crisis in the Balkans.”
[26]
Barratt Brown, Models in Political Economy, op. cit., p. 266.
[27]
Lituchy, Barry, ‘The CIA War in the Balkans (and its Defenders)’, op.
cit. Canadian economist Michel Chossudovsky reported the catastrophic
results of Western interference as follows: “What is at stake in
Yugoslavia are the lives of millions of people. Macro-economic reform
destroys their livelihood, derogates their right to work, their food and
shelter, their culture and national identity... Borders are redefined,
the entire legal system is overhauled, the socially owned enterprises
are steered into bankruptcy, the financial and banking system is
dismantled, social programmes and institutions are torn down.” (Chossudovsky,
Michel, ‘Dismantling Yugoslavia, colonizing Bosnia’, op. cit.)
[28]
World Bank, World Development Report 1991, Statistical Annex, tables 1
and 2, Washington DC, 1991.
[29]
Barratt Brown, Models in Political Economy, op. cit., p. 265.
[30]
Lal, Radhika, ‘IMF, Capital and US: The Economics of Imperialism’,
Sanskrita, 2 October 1996. Radhika Lal is an economics graduate from
the New York-based New School for Social Research.
[31]
Lituchy, Barry, ‘The CIA War in the Balkans (and its Defenders)’, op.
cit.
[32]
Lal, Radhika, ‘IMF, Capital and US: The Economics of Imperialism’, op.
cit.
[33]
Barrat Brown comments that: “Neither he, nor the original federal
constitution, nor Great Serb nationalism, can be blamed for the
disintegration of Yugoslavia. The blame must lie with the debt, the
price-scissors and the demands of the Western bankers for their pound of
flesh.” Barratt Brown, Michael, Models in Political Economy, op.
cit., p. 266.
[34]
According to Gervasi, for example, Western intervention - designed from
the beginning to effectuate the disintegration of Yugoslavia -
constituted the fundamental cause of conflict in the region. “The main
problem in Yugoslavia, from the first, was foreign intervention in the
country’s internal affairs. Two Western powers [in particular], the
United States and Germany, deliberately contrived to destabilize and
then dismantle the country,” reports Gervasi. “The process was in full
swing in the 1980s [primarily via macro-economic policies] and
accelerated as the present decade began.”Gervasi, Sean, ‘Why is NATO in
Yugoslavia?’, paper presented to Prague Conference on the Enlargement of
NATO, Czech Republic,
January 1996. Canadian economist Michel Chossudovsky, Professor of
Economics at the University of Ottawa expands on the nature of this
process. He documents the macro-economic policies pursued by the Western
powers “from the beginning of the 1980s”, with the view to “bring the
Yugoslav economy to its knees”, thereby “contributing to stirring
simmering ethnic and social conflicts”. Macro-economic reforms were
imposed on Yugoslavia by Western financial institutions, “transforming
the Balkans into a safe-haven for free enterprise.” Professor
Chossudovsky takes note of “The strategic interests of Germany and the
US in laying the groundwork for the disintegration of Yugoslavia”, from
which sprang “the economic and social causes of the conflict”. Western
policies orientated toward the fulfilment of these interests -
exemplified in “the role of external creditors and international
financial institutions” - culminated in a “deep-seated economic crisis
which preceded the civil war”. He remarks that “In the eyes of the
global media Western powers bear no responsibility for the
impoverishment and destruction of a nation of twenty-four million
people”. “But through their domination of the global financial system,”
he continues, “the Western powers, in pursuit of national and collective
strategic interests, helped bring the Yugoslav economy to its knees and
stirred simmering ethnic and social conflicts.” (Chossudovsky, Michel,
‘Dismantling Yugoslavia, colonizing Bosnia’, op. cit.)
[35]
Chossudovsky, Michel, ‘Dismantling Yugoslavia, colonizing Bosnia’, op.
cit.
[36]
Memo to Secretary of State Madeleine Albright from Jude Wanniski, ‘Re: A
Polyconomics Report, Six Years Ago’, op. cit.
Mr. Nafeez Ahmed is a
political analyst and human rights activist based in London. He is
Director of the Institute for Policy Research & Development and a
Researcher at the Islamic Human Rights
Commission.