Some weeks ago, something curious happened:
Israel discovered that Iran is the Great Satan.
It happened quite suddenly. There was no
prior sensational news, no new discovery. As if by the order of a
drill-sergeant, the whole Israeli phalanx changed direction. All the
politicians, all the generals, all the enlisted media, with the usual
complement of professors-for-hire, - all of them discovered overnight that
Iran is the immediate, real and terrible danger.
By wondrous coincidence, at exactly the
same moment a ship was captured that, allegedly, carried Iranian arms to
Arafat. And in Washington Shimon Peres, a man for all seasons and the
servant of all masters, accosted every passing diplomat and told him
stories about thousands of Iranian missiles that have been given to the
Hizbullah. Yes, yes, Hizbullah (included by President Bush in the list of
"terrorist organizations") is receiving horrible arms from Iran (included
by President Bush in the "Axis of Evil") in order to threaten Israel, the
darling of the Congress.
Does this sound mad? Not at all. There is
method in this madness.
On the face of it, the matter is easy to
explain. America is still in a state of fury after the Twin-Towers
outrage. It has won a amazing victory in Afghanistan, hardly sacrificing a
single American soldier. Now it stands, furious and drunk with victory,
and does not know who to attack next. Iraq? North Korea? Somalia? The
Sudan?
President Bush cannot stop now, because
such an immense concentration of might cannot be laid off. The more so, as
Bin-Laden has not been killed. The economic situation has deteriorated, a
giant scandal (Enron) is rocking Washington. The American public should
not be left to ponder on this.
So here comes the Israeli leadership and
shouts from the roof-tops: Iran is the enemy! Iran must be attacked!
Who has made that decision? When? How? And
most importantly – Where? Clearly not in Jerusalem, but in Washington DC.
An important component of the US administration has given Israel a sign:
Start a massive political offensive in order to pressure the Congress, the
media and American public opinion.
Who are these people? And what is their
interest? A wider explanation is needed.
The most coveted resource on earth is the
giant oil-field in the Caspian Sea region, that competes in scale with the
riches of Saudi Arabia. In 2010 it is expected to yield 3.2 billion
barrels of crude oil per day, in addition to 4850 billion cubic feet of
natural gas per year.
The United States is determined (a) to take
possession of it, (b) to eliminate all potential competitors, (c) to
safeguard the area politically and militarily, and (d) to clear a way from
the oil-fields to the open sea.
This campaign is being led by a group of
oil people, to which the Bush family belongs. Together with the arms
industry, this group got both George Bush senior and George Bush junior
elected. The President is a simple person, his mental world is shallow and
his pronouncements are primitive, bordering on caricature, like a
second-rate Western. That is good for the masses. But his handlers are
very sophisticated people indeed. It’s they who guide the administration.
The Twin Towers outrage made their job much
easier. Osama Bin Laden did not comprehend that his actions serve American
interests. If I were a believer in Conspiracy Theory, I would think that
Bin Laden is an American agent. Not being one, I can only wonder at the
coincidence.
Bush’s "War on Terrorism" constitutes a
perfect pretext for the campaign planned by his handlers. Under the cover
of this war, America has taken total control over the three small Muslim
nations near the oil reserves: Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.
The whole region is now completely under American political-military
domination. All potential competitors – including Russia and China – have
been pushed out.
For a long time, the Americans have been
arguing among themselves about the best route for piping this oil to the
open sea. Routes that may be under Russian influence have been eliminated.
The 19th century, deadly British-Russian competition, then
called the "Great Game", is still going on between America and Russia.
Until recently, the western route, leading
to the Black Sea and Turkey, seemed most feasible, but the Americans did
not like it very much, to say the least. Russia is much too near.
The best route leads south, to the Indian
Ocean. Iran was not even considered, since it is governed by Islamic
fanatics. So there remained the alternative route: from the Caspian Sea,
through Afghanistan and the western part of Pakistan (called Beluchistan),
to the Indian Ocean. To this end, the Americans conducted, ever so
quietly, negotiations with the Taliban regime. They bore no fruit. Then
the "War on Terrorism" was started, the US conquered all of Afghanistan
and installed their agents as the new government. The Pakistani dictator,
too, was bent to the American will.
If one looks at the map of the big American
bases created for the war, one is struck by the fact that they are
completely identical to the route of the projected oil pipeline to the
Indian Ocean.
That would have been the end of the story,
but the appetite grows with the eating. The Americans drew two lessons
from the Afghani experience: (a) that every country can be subdued by
sophisticated bombs, without putting any soldiers in harm’s way, and (b)
that by military might and money America can install client governments
anywhere.
And so a new idea came up in Washington:
Why lay a long pipeline around Iran (through Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and
Pakistan) if one can lay a much shorter pipeline through Iran itself? One
has only to topple the Ayatullah regime and install a new pro-American
government. In the past, that seemed impossible. Now, after the Afghani
episode, it looks eminently practicable. One has only to prepare American
public opinion and to acquire the support of the congress for an attack on
Iran.
For this, Israel’s good services are
needed. It has an enormous influence in the Congress and the media. It
works like this: Israeli generals declare every day that Iran is producing
weapons of mass-destruction and threatens the Jewish State with a second
Holocaust. Sharon announces that the capture of the Iranian arms-ship
proves Arafat is a part of the Iranian conspiracy. Peres tells everybody
that Iranian missiles threaten the whole world. Every day some newspaper
tells its readers that Bin Laden is in Iran or with the Hizbullah in
Lebanon.
President Bush knows how to reward those
who serve him well. Sharon got a free hand to oppress the Palestinians,
imprison Arafat, assassinate militants and enlarge the settlements. It’s a
simple deal: You deliver the support of the Congress and the media, I
deliver the Palestinians on a platter.
This could not happen if America was still
in need of allies in Europe and the Arab world. But in Afghanistan, the
Americans learned that they don’t need anybody anymore. They can spit in
the eyes of the pitiful Arab regimes, that are always begging for money,
and disregard Europe altogether. Who needs the negligible armies of
Britain and Germany, when America alone is mightier then all the armies of
the world combined?
The idea of American-Israeli cooperation
against Iran is not new for Sharon. On the contrary, in 1981, when he was
just appointed Minister of Defense, he offered the Pentagon a daring plan:
in the event of Khomeini’s demise, the Israeli army would immediately
occupy Iran, in order to forestall the Soviet Union. The IDF would turn
the country over to the slow-moving Americans, once they arrived. For this
purpose, the Pentagon would stockpile in advance the most sophisticated
arms in Israel, under American control, to be used in this operation.
The Pentagon did not accept the idea at
that time. Now, the cooperation is being established against a different
background.
What conclusions should we draw from all
this?
First of all, that we shall be located on
the frontline of this coming war. Beyond the exchange of curses between
the "two Persian Chiefs-of-Staff" (as the joke goes in Israeli command
circles, alluding to the fact that Shaul Mofaz was born in Iran), an
Iranian reaction to an American assault may hurt us grievously. There are
missiles. There are chemical and biological weapons.
Second, that those of us who desire an
Israeli-Palestinian peace cannot rely on America. Now everything depends
on us alone, the Israelis and the Palestinians.
Our blood is more precious than Caspian Sea
oil. At least to us.
