After the invasion of the Balata refugee camp by a regular
brigade of the IDF, the brigade commander appeared on television and said
that he had expected the Palestinians to fight like tigers, but that they
behaved like pussycats.
This is a frightening sentence, because it discloses a
startling fact: the Brigade commander does not understand in what kind of
campaign he is engaged. He has to be told, with all due respect: "Sir, you
are fighting the wrong war!"
Clearly, he believes that he is engaged in a conventional
war between armies. The enemy is supposed to stand up and fight like men,
assault rifles against tanks and fighter planes.
The commander and all his colleagues, including the
Chief-of-Staff and his deputy, would be well advised to read a good book
about guerilla warfare, such as Mao Tse-Tung’s treatise, which tells the
guerilla fighter: Never confront the regular army. When the army attacks,
you disappear. When the army is not ready, you attack.
For example: The army surrounds Arafat in Ramallah,
Destroy a Merkava tank in Gush Katif. A whole brigade invades Balata; Get
out and send a single fighter to kill the team of a check-point near Ofrah.
A brigade attacks Jenin; Get out of their sight and infiltrate Atzmona
settlement.
The statement by the brigade commander indicates that the
IDF is fighting on a front that does not exist, and is not prepared for
fighting on the front that is there. It’s like a general setting out to
conquer Syria and holding a map of the Sudan in his hands.
Since Chief-of-Staff Mofaz and his senior officers don’t
even understand the nature of this struggle, they are failing. Out of
frustration and anger they shoot in all directions and commit a small
massacre every day, without any purpose or chance of success. Since they
were not trained for this kind of struggle and do not understand it, they
are condemned to commit every possible mistake. One after another, they
use all the methods that have already failed in Algeria, Kenya, South
Africa, Vietnam and a dozen of other countries.
They try to starve the inhabitants into submission
("closure"), and inadvertendly turn them into potential suicide-bombers
with nothing to lose. They assassinate the chiefs of the fighting groups
("targeted prevention"), and clear the way for younger, more efficient and
more energetic commanders. The kill massively ("you have to strike them")
and turn the relatives of the victims into avengers.
If this is the way of the generals, the "political
echelon", composed of pensioned generals, is worse. They imprison Arafat
in Ramallah in order to prove that he is "irrelevant", and turn him into
the most relevant person in the entire Middle East. As a result, all
internal criticism of Arafat has ceased. Practically all Palestinians
admire their President, who is taking part in their lot, suffers like them
and is risking his life like them.
And beyond that: tens of millions of Arabs, who see
rousing reports from beleaguered Palestine every hour on al-Jazira TV,
compare the courageous Palestinian leader to their own rulers, who are now
very worried indeed. In response they sounded the alarm in Washington and
have compelled President Bush to do something.
Sharon and Ben-Eliezer declare that if the Palestinians
are made to suffer more and more, they will eventually surrender and agree
to live in several Ghettos, as proposed by Sharon. In practice, the
opposite is happening: the more the pressure on them mounts, the more
their unity grows, their methods of resistance improve and their readiness
to suffer and not to surrender increases.
Thousands of Palestinians are ready to undertake actions
leading to certain death, and their number is growing. How many Israelis
are ready to go into action if there is no chance at all of coming out
alive? Palestinians know full well that they are fighting for their very
existence; Israelis know that they are fighting for the settlements and
bankrupt politicians.
The Israeli government cannot win this struggle. After
paying a terrible price - slaughter and destruction - this will become
clear to the public, the government will fall and we shall make peace
according to the Saudi Crown Prince’s excellent proposal.
[The author has closely followed the career of Sharon for four decades.
Over the years, he has written three extensive biographical essays about
him, two (1973, 1981) with his cooperation.]